Saturday, May 10, 2025

Bond Market Trends – April 2025

 In April 2025, Indian bond markets experienced a notable decline in yields across both government securities (G-Secs) and AAA-rated corporate bonds. This trend was driven by improved systemic liquidity, prompted by the Reserve Bank of India's Open Market Operations (OMOs) and increased government spending toward the end of the fiscal year.

Shorter maturity instruments like 3-year and 5-year G-Secs saw the most significant softening in yields, reflecting market expectations of a potential easing in the monetary policy stance. Meanwhile, corporate bonds, particularly AAA PSU bonds, mirrored this trend, albeit with relatively smaller declines, indicating improved credit conditions.

The chart below compares yield levels from March 2025 and April 2025 across major government and AAA corporate bonds:

These developments underscore the market’s growing confidence in a favorable interest rate outlook, supported by a benign inflation trajectory and improved fiscal dynamics.

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